Venezuela is a country of extraordinary diversity and natural beauty where the sun shines most days of the year. Nowhere else will you find such a fusion of heavenly tropical beaches, snow-capped giant mountains, steaming pristine jungle and a vast mysterious savannah.

Tuesday, April 5, 2011

Housing at Risk

VenEconomy: The National Assembly has the first debate of the bill for Standardizing and Controlling Property Rentals on its agenda. This is the first piece of legislation that has come from the "Legislator People," a new mechanism that permits the country’s citizens to draft bills and submit them to the National Assembly for approval.

Unfortunately this bill came into being with a number of handicaps.

The first, and the basis of all the excesses contained in the bill, is that it was drafted without consultation and unilaterally by one of the parties affected by the bill, which, in turn, is protected by the government. As a result, the outcome is a bill that ignores the rights of the other parties -- the builders and owners of the houses and apartments -- who are precisely the ones who invest and risk their effort and capital.

Moreover, it is a bill that is being promoted by the government for electoral reasons, with its eye on the 2012 presidential elections. The government is perfectly aware that millions of Venezuelans are desperate because they do not have a home and will grasp at any promise that might offer a solution to their problem, no matter how empty.

But the fact of the matter is that, if this bill becomes law, instead of solving the housing crisis, it will make it worse, as the few houses and apartments that are available for rent will disappear.

Here are just some of the nonsensical things the bill proposes:

Private builders will have to allocate 25% of new housing units they build to be put up for rent. It also establishes the contractual obligation that builders sell the house or apartment to the tenant after 10 years have elapsed, at a price to be set by the government.

The government and the National Tenancy Bureau will be empowered to set the selling prices, with discounts of up to 25% if the buyer is the tenant.

Eviction from the house or apartment, even when this is for causes attributable to failures by the tenant to abide by the terms of the lease, may only be carried out when the tenant has somewhere else to live.

The maximum profit that can be made on residential properties will be between 1% and 4% a year, depending on the value of the property, and this value will decrease based on parameters that will be decided by the Executive.

The rented property will be expropriated, if the landlord commits three offenses, as established in the bill, and also owns more than five rented properties.

In its present form, this bill will adversely affect both tenants and landlords and will also have a negative impact on the construction of housing for sale. No one will risk investing their money when, apart from not being able to make a profit, they could well end up without their property.

The Venezuelan President ... insensitive or cynical?

VenEconomy: One of President Chavez' strengths during these 12 long years in power has been his ability to connect with the population, rich and poor, town dwellers and country folk, men and women alike.

On March 30, he announced from Montevideo that Venezuela (read Chavez) had donated US$10 million to the Faculty of Medicine at the University of Montevideo.

This is a slap in the face for the nurses from several of the country's states who have been on hunger strike outside the Embassy of Brazil since March 23 in protest at the low wages paid health workers in the public health system, the deplorable state of the public hospitals, and the Ministry of Health's inadequate budget.

This donation is also an affront to the students who held a 30-day hunger strike, with successful results, to protest at the strangling of the autonomous universities whose budgets today are less than five years ago in current bolivars, as if the President were totally unaware that in Venezuela there is spiraling inflation.

Medicine and university, two birds with one stone.

There are two possible interpretations to this donation by President Chavez. One is that he has simply become totally insensitive to his people's needs and concerns; that he no longer understands, neither is he aware of their desires and sufferings.

Donating US$10 million at a time when there are clear budgetary restrictions is, of itself, an offense for those who are waiting desperately for the government to release the funds for building homes, repairing power stations, fixing roads and freeways or attending to any other of the many needs that have been ignored over the past ten years. But the fact that those US$10 million have been donated precisely to a medical faculty goes beyond being offensive, for some analysts, it is proof that the President is losing his cool.

Then there are others who think that what the President is saying goes something like this:

Gentlemen, No one's going to twist my arm. I have other priorities that do not include giving the nurses substantial salary increases, much less the survival of the autonomous universities, which are constantly putting stumbling blocks in the way of the Revolution.

In other words, the President, a communicator par excellence, has sent a message.

Regardless of which interpretation is the right one, the fact is that this donation, sadly, bodes ill for the Venezuelan people.

On Sunday, Foreign Minister Nicolas Maduro tried to repair the damage and, among other things, said that the donation was made five years ago so that Venezuelan students could study at the Universidad de Montevideo. From what he said it would seem that there have been two donations for equal amounts, one in 2005 and the other last week.

Explanations like that, far from clarifying the situation, simply muddy the waters still further.

Tuesday, March 22, 2011

In Venezuela, Chavez tries to boost Gaddafi

Washington Post (Juan Forero): Moammar Gaddafi is hunkered down, some once-loyal aides have abandoned him for the rebel side and President Obama and other leaders are demanding he step down.

But he still has a friend -- the man who received the al-Gaddafi International Prize for Human Rights, President Hugo Chavez of Venezuela.

Though uncharacteristically quiet as Libya slid into anarchy, Chavez has in recent days venerated Gaddafi for his revolutionary credentials and asserted that the United States is about to invade the North African country to seize its oil. He also convened a meeting Friday in the Venezuelan capital in which his allies, including Cuba, Nicaragua and Bolivia, agreed to a vague peace mission to end the violence in Libya.

"The countries of the Bolivarian alliance are demanding the United States and the world powers respect the people of Libya," Chavez said to cheering, red-shirted supporters. "No to imperialist intervention in Libya! No to a new imperialist war that looks for oil over the blood of innocents!"

Chavez' close allies in the region have also had plenty to say about Gaddafi.

Soon after the rebellion ignited in Libya, President Daniel Ortega of Nicaragua announced that he had told Gaddafi in a telephone conversation that "difficult moments put loyalty to the test."

Cuba's Fidel Castro, busy writing columns and providing running commentary on world affairs as his brother runs the island nation, has condemned the "colossal campaign of lies" about Libya from the mainstream press. He also explained, in one essay, that the violence in Libya had little in common with the unrest in Egypt, Tunisia and elsewhere in the Middle East.

"Libya is first in the human development index in Africa," Castro wrote. "Education and health care receive special state attention, and the cultural level of its people is, without a doubt, the highest."

The camaraderie is perhaps not surprising. Nicaragua's Sandinista rebels received training from Gaddafi. Castro, like Gaddafi, has become iconic to some for resisting the United States.

Chavez, too, has forged ties to Libya since taking office in 1999. The two countries share little in common culturally, but both are powers with the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries.

"There's a common bond of anti-US sentiment that brings together Gaddafi with some figures in Latin America, including Chavez and Fidel Castro and Daniel Ortega in Nicaragua," said Michael Shifter, president of the Washington-based Inter-American Dialogue. "There is a sense of standing up to the superpower, which is the United States, and that's created some sort of solidarity."

When it comes to Chavez and Gaddafi, two former army colonels who conspired against the governments they served, the links go beyond rhetoric.

There's the Hugo Chavez Stadium, for instance, just outside what is now the rebel stronghold of Benghazi, so named because of Gaddafi's fondness for Chavez.

And then there was Simon Bolivar's sword -- or rather, a replica of the sword used by Venezuela's venerated independence hero. In 2009, five years after Gaddafi honored Chavez with Libya's annual human rights prize, Chavez awarded Gaddafi a replica of the sword. "What Simon Bolivar is for Venezuelans, Moammar Gaddafi is for the Libyan people," Chavez said to Gaddafi, then making his first visit to the region.

Last week, Chavez said it "was a great lie" that Gaddafi's forces had attacked civilians, and he also stressed that Gaddafi would not be fleeing Libya anytime soon.

"It's a lie that Gaddafi is going to come to Venezuela or go to Nicaragua," he said to cheers from supporters. "Gaddafi is not going anywhere, I'm sure. Gaddafi is among those men who die fighting."

Margarita Lopez Maya, a political analyst in Caracas, said that Chavez is closely following the unrest in the Middle East because it could prove instructive for him.

"He can see what happens to a leader after so many decades controlling and concentrating power," said Lopez Maya. explaining that she believes Chavez intends to remain in power indefinitely. "These kinds of problems that leaders similar to him confront may serve as a lesson to him."

Monday, March 14, 2011

Could Venezuela really go bankrupt?

The Economist: Ever since Greece plunged into a sovereign debt crisis in 2009, investors have focused on which European country might be next.

According to Capital Economics, a research firm in London, however, the next trouble spot could be Venezuela.

"There is a growing risk that the government will default on its obligations in 2012,"its analysts wrote on February 17.

Some in the markets have taken fright, too: the country' credit default swaps imply a 50% chance of default by 2015.

That may be overblown. Even so, Hugo Chavez, Venezuela's leftist president, seems to be pulling off a dubious achievement by causing the bond markets to fear for the solvency of the world's eighth-largest oil producer.

The chief cause of Venezuela's travails has been Chavez' pillaging of PDVSA, the state oil firm. He has packed it with loyalists, starved it of investment and used it for social spending, cutting its output from 3.3 million barrels per day in 1998 to around 2.25 million, according to industry estimates.

Of that, some 1 million is sold at subsidized prices at home or to regional allies, leaving just 1.25 million barrels per day for full price exports.

Meanwhile, the president's hostility to business has devastated the rest of the economy. He has nationalized hundreds of companies and trumped up charges against their owners, causing much of Venezuela's private sector to shut up shop and flee.

As a result, the country has seen vast capital flight, and must import many goods that it used to produce. Non-oil exports have ground to a halt: Petroleum now accounts for 92% of its dollar intake.

A misguided currency policy has exacerbated the malaise. In 2005, Chavez pegged the bolivar at 2.15 to the dollar. However, he also tolerated a legal parallel market that kept the country supplied with hard currency at a higher rate (providing countless opportunities for arbitrage).

Last year, he closed that market and created a new state body, which provides just over half the dollars that the old system did, at a price of 5.3 bolivares. Venezuela also reinforced its ban on black market trading, making it punishable by up to seven years in jail. (Merely publishing the unofficial dollar price, now around 8-10 bolivares, has long been illegal.)

As a result, foreign exchange is now scarce. Venezuelans have begun asking friends abroad to send them necessities like diapers, sanitary napkins and baby formula.

The government has tried to compensate for these woes by raiding one of its piggy banks -- this year it has grabbed all but $3 million of the $832 million in a rainy-day fund set up to even out oil price fluctuations -- and by leaning on its workers. Public employees have staged frequent protests over unpaid salaries, worsening conditions and a virtual freeze on collective bargaining.

But Chavez' main short-term solution has been borrowing. Since 2008, China has lent Venezuela $12 billion and is being repaid in oil shipments, cutting PDVSA's annual revenues by a further 20%.

The government's opaque accounting makes it impossible to know how it has used the money. Net public debt rose from 14% of gross domestic product in 2008 to 29% last year, and the Economist Intelligence Unit expects it to reach 35% in 2011. The country cannot continue borrowing at today's rates: PDVSA's latest dollar-denominated bonds pay a 12.75% coupon.

Yet even though things look bad now, a default probably does not loom in the near future. If oil stays at $100 a barrel, the Capital Economics report calculates, Venezuela's export revenues should just cover its foreign-exchange requirements -- $11 billion of debt service, $28 billion of capital flight, and $100 billion of imports -- over the next two years.

And even if petroleum prices drop, the central bank has $22.5 billion in cash and gold, and another $7.5 billion in further unspecified illiquid assets.

Moreover, since 2005 the government has squirreled away $39 billion in a separate, unaudited fund called Fonden. Although analysts do not know how much of this has been spent, some part has probably been saved.

There are rumours that the president is hoarding hard currency to prepare for 2012, when he faces a difficult re-election battle that will cost him money. The recent spike in oil prices caused by unrest in the Middle East will surely give Chavez some extra breathing room. And at a pinch, he could probably turn to his friends in Beijing for a new loan.

Nonetheless, that sovereign default is even being mentioned in the same breath as the name of a big oil producer in a fast-growing region says something about Chavez' economic stewardship. Even if he makes it past 2012, he will eventually either have to change his policies or deny bondholders what they are owed.

Sunday, March 6, 2011

More lies from Venezuela's Government...

VenEconomy: In February, the Central Bank reported that the economy grew by 0.6% in the fourth quarter of 2010 and that, therefore, the country had climbed out of the recession.

With this announcement, the government is lying to the Venezuelan people yet again.

A comparison of the final February figures and the preliminary figures announced in December last year reveals that, in order to achieve this view of an improvement in the economy, the Central Bank is claiming what seems to be three lies:

That oil activity grew by 0.8% in the fourth quarter, instead of 0.2% as reported in December. OPEC contradicts this when it reports that production fell by 1.4%.

That nonoil activity grew by 0.2%, instead of the 6% drop estimated in December.

That the main factor that altered the result of nonoil activity was the manufacturing sector, which went from an estimated drop of 33.5% to a reduction of only 0.4%. Could it be merely coincidental that the entries with the biggest adjustments are supplied by state-owned entities such as PDVSA and the CVG?

The falseness of these figures is more than evident.

Another lie with negative international repercussions for the country is that Venezuela is not "selling any gasoline to Iran." On February 4 this year, in support of this statement, the Energy and Oil Minister-president of PDVSA Rafael Ramirez explained that the government understood that "the Islamic Republic had already solved the problem of the fuel deficit it apparently had."

But this Monday, the US Department of State announced that the United States is investigating Venezuela for allegedly having violated the Comprehensive Iran Sanctions, Accountability and Divestment Act (CISADA), passed in July 2010 after the Security Council of the United Nations issued Resolution 1929, which imposes military and financial sanctions on Iran, one of the outlaw states with close ties to Hugo Chávez.

What is more, US Congressman Connie Mack has stated that he has "documentary proof" of PDVSA's sales to the National Iranian Oil Company. Mack has also proposed that Venezuela be sanctioned for this and other violations of international laws.

If this proposal prospers, the lie will have cost the country very dear.

Wednesday, February 23, 2011

Is Hugo Chavez the next Domino to Fall?

Amiel Ungar: Autocracies are under assault throughout the Middle East, but in Venezuela, Hugo Chavez remains sanguine and expects to steer his country into socialism. Venezuelan students have launched a hunger strike against his rule and have appealed to the Organization of American States and its head Jose Miguel Insulza to look into human rights abuses by the Venezuelan regime.

The US State Department urged Venezuela to allow Insulza's visit, but this approach was immediately rejected by Venezuela and its Foreign Minister Nicolas Maduro who accused Washington of trying to destabilize the Chavez government. "They're trying to create a false scenario, something like a virtual Egypt,," he said. Chavez has attributed Mubarak's downfall to the state of poverty in Egypt, something that presumably does not exist in Venezuela.

The opposition does not appear ready to emulate the demonstrations in the Middle East, but they are banking on the fact that Chavez, despite his bravado, is weakening. One sign was Chavez going on TV (he has appeared approximately 10,000 hours since taking power 12 years ago) to lecture the people on energy conservation.

A liter of high-octane gasoline costs $.02 in Venezuela, the lowest price in the world, because the government subsidizes gasoline by 90%. This amounts to $1.6 billion a year in subsidies and is part of the reason for the country's economic problem. The cheap fuel not only goes into automobile tanks, but given the country's electricity shortages, into generators as well. A rise in gasoline prices will therefore have a severe impact on the economy. Venezuela's energy minister was quick to deny that a gradual price hike was in the offing.

Venezuela's cash cow -- the oil industry -- is also being indentured to Chavez' state owned enterprises that owe the oil company $1.6 billion.

Venezuela's biggest problem is the galloping inflation of 405% in the last three years. Even on the official market, the Venezuelan Bolivar has been devalued against the dollar by 168%. Chavez tried to bottle up inflation by price controls, but as occurred in Soviet Russia, such controls merely lead to shortages and the government had to give up the idea. To shore up his standing, Chavez has promised housing to Venezuela's poor, and while he has only built 300,000 apartments in 12 years, he promises to build 2 million in the next 6 years. If he fails to supply the actual houses, he can definitely expect to supply the paper deeds to his supporters.

The opposition is coming up with credible candidates. One such candidate is Leopoldo Lopez, who was slated to run for mayor of Caracas, but was denied the opportunity when Chavez' rigged judicial system disqualified him on trumped up charges. Lopez turned the disadvantage into an asset by moving into the Venezuelan periphery and building a power base for the opposition. He is also appealing the court ruling before the Inter American Court of Human Rights.

Last Tuesday, Caracas Mayor Antonio Ledezma announced his intention to run in the 2012 presidential election against Chavez. Ledezma's victory in Caracas was a major victory for the opposition in 2008 but Chavez immediately stripped him of most of his powers.

To make sure that the proliferation of candidates does not play into Chavez' hands by splitting and tiring the opposition, opposition leaders will seek to shorten the primary election period.

Monday, February 21, 2011

Who can believe that Chavez will build 913 homes per day?

VenEconomy: "You can fool some of the people all of the time, and all of the people some of the time, but you cannot fool all of the people all of the time."

Here in Venezuela these words are all too true. Today the President is trying to fool enough people for long enough to keep him in office. This would seem to be the purpose behind of Hugo Chavez' "admirable campaign" to convince a large enough number of Venezuelans who are desperate for the home that he, after holding all the power in his hands for the past 12 years, will soon be giving them modern, clean, properly equipped homes.

This past Sunday, Chavez promised to build two million homes over the next six years, a lie that is pathetically self evident.

Chavez' promise is even more outrageous when we stop to think that during this long, 12-year period that he has sat in Miraflores, the average number of houses built per year has been only 24,300, or some 300,000 in all. This is the worst performance in the area of housing in all Venezuela's democratic history, made even worse by the fact that he is the President who has been in office for the longest period over the past 70 years.

Who, then, can believe that Chavez will be building 913 homes per day? Or that this government will be able to build 578 12-storey buildings, with four apartments per floor, every month?

To begin with, Venezuela lacks the wherewithal to achieve this housing feat. Home construction costs approximately Bs.F.5,000 per square meter, including utilities and land development. In other words this would require, at the very least, an investment of Bs.F.500 billion, the equivalent of 2.5 times the central government's annual budget.

Then there is the fact that, with his communist policies, he has also destroyed the production sector that supplied the raw materials, the inputs, and has worked to destroy the human capital and the companies working in the construction sector.

Equally serious is the fact that the few houses that the government does manage to build will be assigned, but without real property rights. This, however, will not stop Chavez and his people from handing out housing "IOUs" left and right in an effort to win over votes for the presidential election.

As Lincoln might have said, maybe he will be able to fool some of the people for long enough to be re-elected in 2012.

Sunday, February 13, 2011

Is Chavez Going Down?

Newsweek's Mac Margolis //

Unlike the theocracies and unalloyed tyrannies of the Middle East and Northern Africa, Venezuela under Chavez is an odd but effective political hybrid, a semi-democracy that keeps its grip on society through a combination of fear, favor, and a modicum of liberty. In this way, Chavez marshals his political majority to suppress not crush rivals, games elections rather than steals them outright, and instead of steamrolling the courts, stacks them instead to insure friendly rulings.

As one Middle Eastern dictator after another comes under threat, Mac Margolis asks whether Latin American despots will soon meet the same fate.

If there's a garden variety message in the political turmoil shaking Egypt, Tunisia, and a half dozen other Middle Eastern autocracies, it is that repression has an expiration date. But apparently the word hasn't reached the Western Hemisphere.

Bolivia, Cuba, Ecuador and Nicaragua, all run by authoritarian populists, appear remarkably untouched by the street protests that are rewriting the politics of the Arab world. And now we know that Venezuelan president Hugo Chavez plans to stay in power for the rest of the decade. "The battle has begun" for the 2012 elections, Chavez announced last week in a nationwide broadcast on the 12th anniversary of his Bolivarian Revolution. If he has his way, as Chavez has until now, South America's ranking caudillo will remain in office until 2019.

But such confidence might seem premature. There are striking parallels between the Middle Eastern despots and the self-styled heir of Latin American liberator Simon Bolivar, who has ruled virtually unchallenged since 1999. Like Egypt's House of Sharm El Sheik and the Ben Ali dynasty, Chavez's oligarchy has purloined the wealth it hasn't squandered. An oil powerhouse, that claims more oil reserves than Saudi Arabia, Venezuela produced close to 2.8 million barrels of crude per day in 2000. Now it produces around 2.4 million.

Today Venezuelans face chronic shortages of basic goods, forcing the country to import 85 percent of everything it eats. Prices are rising at 27 percent a year, the worst inflation in the emerging markets. And while the rest of Latin America is booming, Venezuela posted its second consecutive year of recession. Foreign Policy, in 2008, ranked Caracas as "the murder capital of the world," though no one knows for sure because the government no longer publishes crime statistics.

That sort of mayhem would be enough to topple any leader. So how does the "Comandante Presidente," as devotees call him, keep from falling? The Egypt effect, ironically, is part of the answer. With Cairo in disarray, and fears looming over political turmoil shutting down the Suez Canal, oil prices are surging again. All the better for Venezuela, which even in decline is still one of the US' top suppliers. It also helps to have a political firewall, as Chavez does in his ring of Cuban advisers, a Praetorian guard of Havana's best with half a century of practice in crowd control.

But perhaps Chavez' competitive advantage is his brand of authoritarianism. A newcomer to Venezuela expecting to see jackboots would be forgiven for wondering. How can a nation so boisterous and fearlessly irreverent be dismissed as a dictatorship? There are tyrants and there are tyrants, of course. And while the scholars' game of parsing autocracies may be lost on protesters caught on the wrong end of the nightstick, it's precisely the nuances that can topple or prop up a dictator when things get ugly.

In practice, the semi-democratic ruler may be as unyielding and arbitrary as the baldest tyrant. But its talent is to create the political escape valves -- the right to vent steam or vote one's conscience -- to engage voters and rivals even as it frustrates and finally thwarts them. And so Chavez jails and hounds critics, but keeps no gulag of political prisoners. Independent media are silenced (Radio Caracas) or harassed (Globovision), although ordinary Venezuelans may freely assemble and say just about what they want. The government does rig elections, but slants the outcome through gerrymandering as it did in September when the opposition won a majority of the popular vote but failed to gain control of the legislature. Not surprisingly, Chavez and his allies have won 14 of the 15 elections and referendums he has sponsored since coming to power.

By throwing in a dollop of asistencialismo fueled by petrodollars (selling gasoline at a few cents a liter) and putting on a bit of populist theater (expropriating a few mansions in the name of tens of thousands left homeless by rainstorms), the government has managed to prolong its public honeymoon even as the economy sinks. (He still boasts a 50% approval rate.) "Venezuela is an authoritarian but at the same time very chaotic [state] that is not tightly repressive," says Michael Shifter of the Inter-American Dialogue. "Many Venezuelans, especially the poor, continue to identify with him, even though disenchantment has grown."

Venezuela's easygoing political culture may even play a part in keeping Chavez on top. Laid back and imbued with a healthy sense of self deprecation, Venezuelans occasionally take to the streets to protest. But they would sooner laugh at the excesses of their eccentric Comandante than storm the ramparts or immolate themselves in the name of democracy. So far the only arena for "fundamentalistas" in Venezuela is the baseball stadium.

Gustavo Coronel, a Venezuelan energy expert and former founding member of the national oil company, PDVSA, has an anthropological explanation. "Most Venezuelans are descendants of the Arawaks not the Caribs," says Coronel. "The Arawaks ate mostly maize and plantains. The Caribs ate Arawaks."

Unlike the theocracies and unalloyed tyrannies of the Middle East and Northern Africa, Venezuela under Chavez is an odd but effective political hybrid

For now, Chavez is not on the menu. But if the rumblings in the Middle East hold any certainty, it is that the people's palate also changes.

A longtime correspondent for Newsweek, Mac Margolis has traveled extensively in Brazil and Latin America. He has contributed to The Economist, The Washington Post, and The Christian Science Monitor, and is the author of The Last New World: The Conquest of the Amazon Frontier.

Wednesday, February 9, 2011

Venezuela's PDVSA not to receive $20 billion in cash

The cash flow of the state-run oil industry Petroleos de Venezuela will fall until 2012 because of oil deals with Cuba, Petrocaribe and the Chinese Fund

El Universal: The cash flow of state-run oil company Petroleos de Venezuela's will plunge due to the preferential financial conditions granted by Venezuela and the exchange of crude oil and products for goods and services.

According to a report issued by Barclays Capital, PDVSA "will not receive in cash $9.4 billion in 2011 and $10.7 billion in 2012" due to the export agreement with Cuba and a 50% discount in the total invoice value of Venezuelan oil exports to the Caribbean countries (under the Petrocaribe cooperation agreement).

All of this includes preferential terms such as long-term funding, and the mandatory payments on loans granted by the bilateral Chinese Fund.

Egypt and Venezuela: Dictators, it seems, are not in fashion today!

VHeadline's Paris (France)-based commentarist Alfredo Bremont writes: While dictators, it seems, are not in fashion today, we can just say that the Middle East is in liberation mood and on its way to democracy, but as we already knew, the current dictator was democratically elected with the West blessing’s and red carpet honors.

For President Chavez this can be a blessing or a curse, as it presents the opposition with an ideal moment to label the President they dislike a common dictator.

What we must grasp from these events is the aftermath, and what we recognize is that modern Western culture has reached its end point.

However, we must clearly discern how this disintegration is taking place and where we position ourselves in respect to current world events.

Our present cultural collapse is developing in a unique manner. People can finally be free, and understand and experience what a free human being is. The first signs are that a civilized revolution is coming from Tunisia and the Middle East spreading towards the Horn of Africa and ultimately, ending in the Saudi Arabia peninsula. However, what is of most importance is that this revolution has been quite elegant, calm and in fact surprisingly, intelligent, as the Israeli lobby has acknowledged and Washington think-tanks are finally accepting.

What makes these exotic revolutions so exceptional is that the barbarians are no longer located in the Third World but are in fact further up North. Paris, Berlin, London, Washington and New York are the exact places that put the Egyptian dictator in power as they did for Saddam Hussein, Mohammad Reza Pahvlavi and the rest of well-know dictators of our world.

Nevertheless, we also know Western media and Western population call these Third World ordinary citizens terrorist, and second-class populations, uncultured and somewhat backward, sometimes considered by some as not even human but just animals.

The land of pleasure and tourism is where the sun shines, in Africa, the poor regions of Indonesia, Venezuela, Colombia, Brazil, or the Caribbean islands. It is where we Westerners dominate and dictate, buy cheap and despise. This is where the uneducated live and the wise Westerner sacrifices his life to help and save them from ignorance and diseases. These are the lands that need help from the IMF and the World Bank, FIO, UN, and advice from Washington and Paris. Economic advisers as the Chicago Boys and Goldman Sacks are sent to these far away regions. They need us, our technology, our culture, our know-how, the civilized West says repeatedly, and constantly echoes the same slogan endlessly. However, reality shows that these very uneducated folks are in fact a lot more sophisticated, that their Western counterparts. It’s the West that can do with a bit of example in humanity, social relationships, education, manners and citizenship.

The rich West, full of objects and empty of cognizance, still believes that it knows best. However, we must not blame the ignorance of Westerners but rather understand why they have adopted that position. We must as well discern a North-South realm that is right in front of our eyes and understand the meaning of it.

*

"I think therefore I am." (I think spending, I am a consumer until I die)

It can be of great help to the confused mind and brainwashed thoughts of the industrialized world when they do manage to understand the hiding meaning of the phrase. The fact is they were kept in ignorance for the simple purpose of conquest, (Plato’s cave ) shows that Parisians are nothing more than simple barbarians sent to the civilized world, "the Third World" (which they consider to be uncivilized) to conquer and dominate, subjugate, humiliate, and destroy the dignity of the peoples of those regions. A holiday in the south of Egypt is an ego trip and for the benefit of the masters. With the only purpose of corruption, they were programmed and still are now, to think, believe, act and obey.

These programmed robots do have a boss but it is not the CEO of Goldman Sacks nor the manager of Intel, or any corporation that roams the Western world. Their ruler is implanted on their brain by television ads, propaganda and the obligation of consumerism. They are servants of a system they neither understand nor accept as true. They are practically absent. All they know is to follow the ad, purchase, sob and complain, demand democracy from a system that does not practice democracy, justice from laws that are designed to be unjust, liberty from a culture that has evolved into repression, and knowledge from a system whose purpose is to keep you in ignorance.

As long as you do not know, you will obey, consume, work for less, get into debt and later, forget all you have work for, your benefits, pension social security benefits, all gone. They call this progress, growth, but it’s nothing more than corruption, from top level of the pyramid to the middle managers; corruption is all that there is. Politicians, bankers, religious leaders, theorists, philosophers, painters and preachers, and art dealers … all they know is corruption, despotism and greed.

Moreover, here this upside-down, middle-eastern realm blasts into the mind of the Western television screen. Theorists from Alex Jones to Gerald Celente claim they know the reason for the events and blame the government, the CIA, George Soros, and bankers as Naomi Klein says. Nevertheless, all they do is continue to empower the falling system. Bono and his African pledges serving propaganda do more harm than good. The so-called help brings corruption, despotism and destruction to Africa. What Africa needs is dignity and an end to Western racism, one of the keys of colonialism, exploitation and communal suicide.

*North is South. South is North. (A pole shift)

An upside-down world

What Egypt is showing western society is what they fail to perceive the cause of enslavement is in Western cities, the British parliament, in Washington DC. These Egyptians, Tunisians and Algerians are showing you the path towards your freedom, liberty, equality and fraternity.

Dignity does not depend on themselves, on their revolution or the new elected leader, it depends on you. Just as your own freedom depends on the perception of how to liberate yourself, their revolution is where the know-how is coming from. Moreover, your own liberty depends on the perception and discernment of events in the Middle East. What the Western mind is able to conclude will determine if the culture will survive its upheaval, and if eventually, its citizens will achieve at last freedom, democracy and dignity.

Technology

Means by which humans can indeed liberate themselves, take their proper place among all of us living organisms, and achieve their ends. Technology can liberate men as it can enslave him. A prosperous, artistic harmonious realm is possible, only if you want it and let your subconscious mind guide you to it … you will experience it sooner than expected.

Monday, February 7, 2011

Chavez has been lucky ... but will it allow him to win the 2012 elections?

The Miami Herald (Andres Oppenheimer): After two years of gradually losing popular support at home and political influence abroad, Venezuelan President Hugo Chavez could be one of the big winners of a major rise in world oil prices triggered by the Egyptian uprising.

But will oil prices rise enough to give Chavez' 12-year-old regime a second wind, and allow him to win the 2012 elections? Will he be able to resume his checkbook diplomacy in Latin America?

Venezuela's narcissist leader -- if you think this depiction is unfair, consider that in his January 15 speech to Congress he used the word "I" 489 times -- knows that his political future depends on oil prices.

His popularity at home is dwindling -- 52% of the vote in last year's legislative elections went to opposition candidates, despite massive government propaganda and limited press freedoms -- and Venezuela suffers from a 30% inflation rate, growing food shortages and the lowest economic growth rate in Latin America.

But Chavez is betting that the "Egypt effect" on oil prices will save him. Since late January, when the Middle Eastern turmoil started, New York-traded oil prices have gone up by about $7 a barrel, and surpassed the $92 a barrel mark earlier this week.

Venezuela says it exports about 2.3 million barrels of oil a day, and economists calculate that -- after subtracting subsidized oil sales to Cuba and other countries -- each $1 rise in world oil prices will give the Chavez regime an extra $730 million a year.

Some financial analysts say that, just by staying where they are, oil prices would give Chavez a major financial boost. "This will definitely help him," says Russ Dallen, head trader with the Caracas, Venezuela-based BBO Financial Services firm. "The government was betting that prices of oil would go back up, and it was a good bet."

According to Dallen, if Egypt manages to carry out a peaceful transition of power and oil prices stay at about $92 a barrel, Venezuela would get an additional $5.1 billion this year from oil exports.

If Egypt's transition is chaotic, and fears over the passage of oil tankers through the Suez Canal drive New York-traded oil prices to $100 a barrel, Venezuela would get an extra $10 billion this year, he said.

And if the Egyptian turmoil extended to major Middle Eastern oil producers and oil prices reached their previous record of $150 a barrel, Venezuela would get an additional $35 billion a year. But that's unlikely to happen because such an increase would immediately trigger a major world recession that would immediately drive down world oil prices, he said.

Other analysts say Chavez won't benefit from the "Egypt effect," among other things, because Venezuela has to pay massive foreign debts, and its oil production is falling dramatically.

Evanan Romero, an energy consultant and former director of Venezuela's PDVSA oil monopoly, told me that lack of investments in exploration and maintenance have driven down Venezuela's oil production by more than a third over the past 12 years, and that oil exports will keep falling. He said that Venezuela's extra oil income will be reduced by massive domestic consumption -- Venezuelans pay less than 5 cents a gallon for gasoline -- as well as by large-scale oil smuggling to neighboring countries and Chavez' subsidized oil exports.

"Chavez' financial problems won't be solved this year by the current spike in oil prices," Romero concluded. "What he wins with rising oil prices, he loses with declining oil production."

My opinion: Chavez has been a lucky guy, and record oil prices during the past twelve years have allowed him to buy loyalties at home and abroad. The current rise in world oil prices will no doubt help him, but it won't be enough to allow him to give away cash to voters like in the past.

If oil prices rise above $110 per barrel, the U.S. economic recovery will come to an end, oil prices will drop, and Venezuela's export income will fall. So we can assume Chavez will get a small respite from the "Egypt effect," but nothing that would allow him to easily win next year's elections without further tightening his grip on power, or rigging the vote.

Saturday, February 5, 2011

VenEconomy: Chavez has become expert at implementing half measures

VenEconomy: Over these past 12 years, the Hugo Chavez administration has become an expert in implementing half measures. Unfortunately, while such measures bring momentary relief from some ill in this or that sector, they generally open the doors to new and even greater problems for other sectors of the population.

One example of this is the announcement the President made at the weekend that he will issue a decree with the rank, value, and force of law whereby the debts of agricultural producers who were affected by the torrential rains in November and December last year will be written off.

It is very easy to applaud this decision if one looks at just one side of the coin: the grave situation facing the agricultural producers; a situation, it has to be pointed out, that is not solely the product of the rains brought by La Nina or the draught caused by El Nino during the early months of 2010, but, more particularly, of the government's wrongheaded policies that have led it to expropriate thousands of hectares of farmland without rhyme or reason, discouraging investment and the planting of crops.

Equally understandable is the enthusiastic welcome given the measure by Fedeagro, whose president, Pedro Rivas maintained that this "would help to alleviate our indebtedness and allow us to give a fresh boost to planting in the upcoming seasons."

But the situation is far from rosy for the other side of the coin: the private banks. According to the few details announced by the President, this decree-law, to be issued under his enabling powers and which will write off "all the debts of agricultural producers, even though those people in the private banks don't like it," will be ready in just a few days' time.

The point is not whether the banks like it or not, but that this decree could drive many of them into bankruptcy.

It so happens that, for some banks, the agricultural loans portfolio (25% of the total portfolio) that the government requires the banks to maintain could be substantially more than 100% of their net worth (in November, 25% of the banks' portfolio was equivalent to 92% of the system's net worth. Assuming that half of a typical agricultural portfolio is to be written off, this would wipe out 46% of the banks' net worth, which, in some cases, could represent more than 100%.)

The details of this proposed decree-law have not been made public so far. However, from the little that has been leaked, there is no indication that the government is thinking of compensating the banks for any possible losses that this forced pardoning of agricultural loans will cause.

A rational government would be concerned over the well-being of all sectors of the population, which involves understanding that having a strong banking system in which the general public has confidence -- something achieved by means of clear policies reached on the basis of consensus -- is essential for the healthy development of any country.

Sunday, January 30, 2011

VenEconomy // Whipping them into submission

VenEconomy: One of the traits of the Hugo Chavez administration is its tendency to confuse imposing its will and terrorizing whoever says it nay with governing and managing a country on the basis of consensus.

For some time now, the President has been conducting a campaign of threatening the bankers, as he has done over these past 12 years with farmers, builders, academia, workers, politicians, and anyone else he feels like. He is no longer satisfied with having the banks struggling to cope with compulsory loan portfolio quotas or the drastic restrictions introduced by the amendment to the Banks and Financial Institutions Act. And it would seem that his latest unilateral decision to pardon the debts of all agricultural producers in areas affected by the heavy rains at the end of 2010 has not sufficed to assuage him either, much less the latest blow that he is about to deal the banks, based on his warning that they had better straighten up and fly right because "I'm going to take out Bs.F.15 million for housing loans (…) on the terms imposed by the government and not by the swindling mafias," when announcing yet another promise to build 150,000 housing units in 2011 at a cost of Bs.F.30 billion.

During the same event, and faced with evidence of the pernicious effects that these latest arbitrary measures will have for the banks, this Wednesday afternoon, the President indulged in an embarrassing fit of arrogance when he threatened to nationalize Banco Provincial, an affiliate of the Spanish Banco Bilbao Viscaya Argentaria (BBVA).

This display of brute force by the President was given during an event on the housing problem, broadcast nationwide by all radio and television stations. After hearing a complaint by a group of people who said they had been affected because Banco Provincial denied them a loan for a housing project in San Jose del Avila, the President asked to talk to the bank's president, Pedro Rodriguez, over the phone. When he got Rodriguez on the line, without allowing anyone to hear the banker's clarifications and answers, and totally ignoring them, Chavez yelled at him, to the astonishment of listeners and viewers, making three more than unfortunate remarks:

"If Banco Provincial, which you preside, is not prepared to comply with presidential laws and decrees, you can start to hand the bank over to me." "Tell me how much it costs. I'm not going to argue with you." And last of all, "It's not for sale, but you know that I can perfectly well expropriate it."

It is not known whether the people making the complaint were in the right or not, much less whether they met the legal requirements for obtaining a mortgage or whether the project is viable or not. It could be that everything is in order and aboveboard. But even if it is not, Banco Provincial will have no other choice but to assume the risk of financing this project or run the greater risk of being expropriated or nationalized.

The big boss has already cracked his dictatorial whip in the belief that he wields unlimited power.

Friday, January 21, 2011

Sunday 1/23 may be make or break for Venezuela ... eventually, America

Arlen Williams: It could bring a new birth of freedom, or an atrocity worse than Tienanmen Square...

Over this past Christmas season, a hardcore, totalitarian mixture of Marxism and fascism (hence, Marxofascism) has been forced upon a nation in America's hemisphere, a nation of great strategic importance.

This nation is Venezuela, though even a doggedly observant newshound may not have caught a whiff of it.

Even so, this coming Sunday, January 23, Venezuela's courageous citizens need, perhaps desperately, the massively focused attention of Americans and of the entire world. Will the whole world be watching?

If they get that attention, it may mean the Venezuelans' key to freedom and perhaps a turning point in the renewed, worldwide soft war against freedom and sovereignty, by the globalist, Marxofascist complex. Yes Virginia and District of Columbia, there is a vast globalist, Marxist/fascist conspiracy. Just call it "the beast," to use the term the Bible provides for such machinations.

The beast in this case has apparently applied the tentacles and fangs of Cuba, FARC, Iran, and Russia, to come to the aid of Hugo Chavez, after his party lost the overall majority vote in Venezuela's parliamentary elections, September 26, 2010. And it becomes increasingly apparent, this beast includes others, even the American administration of Barack Obama.

"Enabling" dictatorship & classic communist property theft

While the majority voted against Chavez' party, they maintained a majority in their parliament. This vote signaled the potential failure of that governing majority to sustain itself. Their solution was to relinquish authority to Chavez by a very broad enabling act, granting him dictator status.

By Christmas time, the Chavez thugs' rallying cry was "Merry Chavismo," as they busied themselves confiscating farms left and right, especially in the relatively successful, freer market stronghold of the Sur del Lago region. This is a locality very rich in oil and natural gas, also in increasingly precious agriculture and never mind Venezuelan mouths, the top-down tyrannical regimes of the world are hungry for all of the above.

Chavez' ill-fitting excuse, not wasting even a micro-crisis: his government needed to come to the rescue after alleged chaos following heavy rains.

Massive protests followed. Farm machinery was parked on highways, blocking the movement of military confiscators. In one case, thug forces were halted by a ninety-something-year old man, blocking their path. But eventually, for the most part, they accomplished their kleptocratic work, as family and corporate farmers both had their land stolen by Marxist fiat.

As the demonstrations mounted, we are informed, Chavez told farmers that his bureaucrats would review their land rights, if they brought their legal deeds to them. They were stored in a building that was promptly burned. Chavez, not missing a Marxofascist beat, then assented it was arson, but blamed it upon his opposition in the Un Nuevo Tiempo (UNT) party. [link, propaganda: link] This was a move as sensible as blaming the shooting spree of a maniacal fan of Marx and Hitler upon pro-freedom, anti-statist patriots, here in America.

Further aspects and abuses

The overall usurpations, constitutional violations, and sundry tyrannical abuses of the Chavez regime read like a Marxist scouting manual. More than a few of them, oddly enough, remind one of efforts attempted and accomplished a bit more subtly or surreptitiously in America, lately.

*Use of "disaster" to nationalize, control, or destroy private property
*Seizure of private enterprise, including the nationalization of mass media
*Abrogations of power during a lame duck legislative session
*Minimal time allowed to debate major legislation
*Government by executive order
*Internet controls
*Broadcast media controls (Globovision tenuously remains)
*Publicly calling out Globovision, "Enemies of the homeland, particularly those behind the scenes, I will give you a name: Globovision. Greetings gentlemen of Globovision, you should watch where you are going…. I recommend you take a tranquilizer and get into gear, because if not, I am going to do what is necessary."
*Slandering opposition as "defenders of the bourgeoisie," or "defenders of the empire and of its politics of aggression"
*Prohibition of broadcasting material which foments "anxiety amongst the citizenry or that alters the public order"
*Imprisonment of anti-Chavez labor leader, Carlos Ortega, setting an example, for a chilling effect

Chilean historian and Venezuela watcher, Fernando Mires sums it up this way, "In Venezuela, the law is destroyed by the law, the judicial system is destroyed by the judicial system, and the Parliament is destroyed by the Parliament." Coincidences, indeed; funny how a little, loudly quacking duck will waddle the same way a bigger but stealthier one does. Immediately, Jorge Cardinal Urosa Savino and the Roman Catholic Episcopal Council of Venezuela were engaged. They were not on the side of communist totalitarianism.

According to El Universal: Cardinal Urosa Savino said in a statement that Venezuelan President Hugo Chavez and his government are disregarding the Constitution and "want to impose a Socialist-Marxist system in the country to control all sectors. This system is totalitarian and is leading to dictatorship; not to proletarian dictatorship but to dictatorship led by the elite who is ruling the country." He stressed that attempts at leading the country to this system of government opposes to the wishes of the Venezuelan people who already rejected the implementation of a socialist system in previous elections. "The government wants to impose a Marxist regime through unconstitutional laws, as the president has proclaimed," Cardinal Urosa said. He criticized government attempts to "control all production means through gradual monopolization of imports, distribution and marketing of foodstuffs." He said that this position is "in line with the purpose of dismantling the domestic production system. The aim is to make people depend on the government to eat."

The very critical rally this Sunday

Anti-dictatorship activist, Ulf Erlingsson has been documenting the totalitarian doings surrounding Venezuela. Items from his blog have been featured in Gulag Bound and we interviewed him on "Gulag Night," Thursday, January 13. He describes the event as follows.

On the anniversary of when the people of Venezuela threw out the last dictator, January 23 (Sunday) they take to the streets again to protest against dictatorship. There will be sympathy demonstrations in some 30 cities around the world, including Miami. The reason for holding this rally is not only the anniversary, but also the unconstitutional laws that have been implemented to deny any power to non-chavista parties, even in jurisdictions where they actually won the elections. There is no judicial separation of powers (e.g., judge Maria Afiuni is in jail without trial because Chavez didn't like her verdict in a case); there is no legislative separation of powers (the lame duck Congress granted Chavez the right to rule by decree); and there is no local democracy (all state and municipal elected bodies have been replaced by "communes" answerable only to Chavez). Furthermore there is media and internet censorship, and rampant confiscations of private property, both firms and farms. Rather than to use the oil wealth to improve conditions in Venezuela, Chavez is using it to subsidize the dictatorships in Cuba and Belarus, and he is apparently bribing the politicians of Bolivia, Ecuador, Nicaragua, and Honduras, to change also their constitutions to allow for perpetual reelection of the president. Being an ally of Ahmedinejad and Putin, and spending heavily on armaments for a high-technology war, he is clearly setting the stage for a conflict with the United States. The main event is of course in Caracas, from 9:30 to 11:30 AM ET.

Erlingsson also lists locations and times around the world, in which demonstrations will be held. These include, in the United States: Miami, New York, Los Angeles, Boston, and Dallas. In Latin America sites include: Guayaquil, Equador; Santiago, Chile; Sao Paulo, Brazil; Bogota, Columbia; Mexico City; and Buenos Aires, Argentina. In Europe: Madrid and Barcelona, Spain; Frankfurt, Germany; and Vienna, Austria. The signs may look like child's play, but that belies the danger and the courage to be required in Caracas, Sunday. During the aforementioned Gulag Night program, writer and researcher of the communist movement, James Simpson, explained that trustworthy connections of his relate that freedom activists in Venezuela, being rivals of Chavez totalitarianism, have already begun to be "disappeared." In large part due to the potential totalitarian thuggery that may ensue, the non-violent demonstrators are urged to bring cameras and Internet activists that do still have access will be reporting at the Twitter #FreeVE hashtag, as well as posting photos and videos. Some may also tweet using #Venezuela or simply #VE.

"The whole world watching?" -- the whole world of Marxofascist controllers must begin to be outed, using their support of Hugo Chavez, the little thug with the big mouth, as focal point. We start with the following. The American news media, whether liberal, status quo conservative, or in-between, have been ignoring this "huge story" to an astounding degree not seen since the Obama eligibility problem was so oddly squelched, at the time of his 2008 election and its certification. Apparently, media bosses and their political friends of allegiance to the Aspen Institute, Council on Foreign Relations, Trilateral Commission, Bilderbergers, and whatever other Beastbunglers do not wish the Venezuelan liberty movement noised up. Could this be one of the reasons?

Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad and visiting Venezuelan counterpart, Hugo Chavez, watched as officials from both countries signed 11 agreements promoting cooperation in areas including oil, natural gas, textiles, trade and public housing Among the agreements, Venezuela's state oil company Petroleos de Venezuela SA said the South American country was forming a joint shipping venture with Iran to aid in delivering Venezuelan crude oil to Europe and Asia. It said in a statement that the agreement for a joint venture also would help supply Iran "due to its limited refining capacity."

Lions and tigers and bears do poop in the woods and globalists do favor Marxofascist Europe and Asia -- and their not so little central banks too, Toto. Do you think it odd that Chavez and Ahmadinejad are both calling for a "New World Order," opposed to America's freely enterprising influence? That is in this AP article, too. It is a lot more than just George Soros, Maurice Strong, Rockefellers, Obama and Geithner's parents' employer: the Ford Foundation, the Rothschilds, and a few other "philanthropists" working that agenda. Now, it appears a globalist deal has been cut for these two nations. In a subsequent article, but very shortly, we intend to point out more of the global-Marxofascist alliances and dynamics involved with Chavez' Venezuela. For this moment, understanding their oil trade as these two tyrants' ticket to the New World Order, it becomes much less mysterious that the newly inaugurated Obama was so unsupportive of the 2009 freedom movement in Iran, just as with Venezuela (and Honduras). And understanding this, clearer yet become the Obamunist moves with Deepwater Horizon, George Soros' Petrobras, and their crippling of America's oil industry in the Gulf of Mexico. Bill Ayers' friend, Chavez, up; American lifeblood down. Friend of Farrakhan and New Black Panthers, Ahmadinejad up; friends of freedom around the world, such as Israel, down. [link] Are we keeping score, here at home? On the home front, where we are to defend against "enemies domestic," one needs to pay attention to what the Obama regime is doing and not so much, what comes trippingly off the teleprompter. No, we cannot shoot this beast (in case Marxstream Media Matters gives a read). That would be a horrible thing on numerous levels, but we have to use all the moral tools in the Constitution's kit, plus warily watch here in America, and watch the world. Watch Venezuela, this weekend. And pray -- and tell your neighbors who need to know and would like to pray too, for the true peace of God accountable freedom. It will be Sunday, after all. The lives and essential liberties of all of Venezuela may depend on it. Yours too.

Thursday, January 20, 2011

VenEconomy // One of the iron hands behind the silk gauntlet

VenEconomy: One of the iron hands behind the silk gauntlet thrown down by the President before the opposition benches in the National Assembly last Saturday is more than evident. It consists of the President's proposal to use the special powers granted him under the Enabling Law to set up a Superintendency of Costs and Companies.

Although little is known of the powers this new agency will have, what the President revealed with regard to its objectives is more than alarming. According to him, it will issue measures for regulating and imposing ceilings on companies' profits, which, as he sees it, should not exceed 20%. He did not explain whether this 20% is to be calculated on total sales or on a company's net worth.

Another feature of this Superintendency is that it will only accept the participation of members of communal councils and workers involved in federations having close ties with the government, without taking into account the opinion of workers as a whole or their legitimate representatives, much less employers.

The excuse for this new interventionist advance by the government is what it understands to be the unleashing of a "wave of speculation with the prices of essential goods such as food, medicines, and mass consumption products."

It is clear that the Executive is, once again, refusing to admit that it is its interventionist measures over these 12 long years that have caused shortages of basic goods and the constant rise in their prices.

These measures, as the majority of analysts have warned constantly, have put the productive sector in a straightjacket and gradually strangled it. Among them, we have mobilization waybills, price and foreign exchange controls, inefficiency at ports and customs posts, growing contributions by business to the National Treasury, harassment by inspection agencies, punitive anti-speculation laws, and other laws that allegedly aim to guarantee national sovereignty but hang like a Sword of Damocles over the private sector.

The Executive also chooses to ignore that its property confiscation measures have reduced the private industrial park and that the state-owned companies that have replaced it have proved to be proverbially unsuccessful.

Apart from that, it continues to be blind to the fact that the devaluations it has been implementing periodically imply increases in costs for commercial and industrial enterprises, and that, by preventing price increases, it is further strangling companies and opening the door to the professional opportunists, more often than not people close to government circles.

It is obvious that this new agency will also have unprecedented powers to interfere in companies' production chain, operations, and administration, strapping them into an even tighter straightjacket, which, far from putting a stop to spiraling inflation, will simply fuel it.

VenEconomy // More like an amnesiac's purely fictitious rambling

VenEconomy: This (last) Saturday, President Hugo Chavez "rendered" the Report & Accounts of his administration in 2010 before the National Assembly, facing, for the first time in five years, a plural audience where, besides the 98 government party (PSUV) deputies, a bench of 67 opposition deputies was present.

Apart from the unusually conciliatory, reasonable, and condescending tone adopted by the President, a number of points that emerged during this marathon ceremony (more than seven hours) are worth highlighting.

The first is the forced absence of two deputies elect, Biaggio Pilieri and Jose Sanchez (Mazuco), both of whom are being held in prison accused of crimes they did not commit, in violation, moreover, of the parliamentary immunity to which they are entitled under the Constitution. Their seats were occupied by their alternates.

The second is a presentation by the President that was a far cry from a rendering of accounts for his performance during the past year and was more like an amnesiac's purely fictitious ramblings.

The nearest Hugo Chavez' presentation got to the true state of affairs was when he mentioned that 2010 had been a "difficult" year on the agricultural front. But even here his "rendering of accounts" fell short, as he only admitted to a 2.3% drop in rice production due to the "long summer," whereas Fedeagro's statistics put the drop at 30.8%.

As for the rest, he merely touched briefly on the issues that are of real interest to the population, such as citizen security, the cost of living, housing, health, and employment, and without assuming any responsibility for the decline in the indicators for each of these areas.

The third was Chavez' attempt to resurrect his democrat's facade by offering to "send back" the Enabling Law that the outgoing National Assembly granted him in December in a manner that was unconstitutional, illegitimate, and even immoral. But let no one be fooled. Watch out, because his offer to rescind the Enabling Law before May 1 was very clear: "I'll send you back the Enabling Law; I've no problem with that. I'm going to work harder and faster."

Those who swallowed the offer of conciliation need to bear in mind the following two items of news.

The first is a clarification given by Vice President Elias Jaua: "We are getting ready to deal more efficiently with any emergencies that may arise; laws to deal with those who are left homeless in order to provide a solution once and for all to the housing problem and to transform the economic and social conditions that generate this situation."

And the other is the decision by the Supreme Tribunal of Justice to abide by a request by the President that it order all judges, "as a matter of urgency" and on a "temporary" basis, to restrict measures of execution that involve the loss of possession or tenancy of a property intended for housing, even when a final sentence has been handed down by a court.

It is clear that they are paving the way and buying time so that Hugo Chavez can legislate against the right to private property.